Dollar Index Rises to a thirteen-month High ahead of Inflation Data

Dollar Index Rises to a thirteen-month High ahead of Inflation Data


The dollar index which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies cleared the resistance zone between 95.00 and 95.50 to reach a thirteen-month high of 96.17 during the Asian session. Market participants await the release of the July Consumer Price Index where the year on year reading is expected to tick slightly higher. Strong numbers should provide support to the monetary policy stance of the Federal Reserve. EURUSD suffered from the strength of the greenback and fell to a thirteen-month low of $1.1432. Moreover, the dollar continued to rise against the Turkish Lira and Russian Ruble where the USDTRY traded at a new record high of 6.29, and the USDRUB reached a twenty-six-month high of 67.15.


The British Pound is falling for the seventh consecutive day as investors fear that Britain will leave the European Union without a deal. GBPUSD tumbled to a one-year low of $1.2774, and GBPJPY fell to an eleven-month low of 141.70. Traders await economic data from the United Kingdom, as better-than-expected figures could provide support to the falling pound. The preliminary second-quarter GDP, manufacturing data, and trade balance are due today.


The Japanese Yen was the only currency among majors that gained ground against the United States Dollar. USDJPY traded at a two-week low of 110.68 as the pair found support by the risk aversion with equities. The preliminary release of the second quarter GDP showed that the economy grew by 0.5% QoQ versus an expectation of 0.3% and a prior reading of -0.2%.


Metal prices plunged during the Asian session as the dollar rallied. The gold ounce traded at a low of $1206 and the silver ounce fell to $15.31. Both gold and silver prices are trading in a tight range near 2018 lows because of the absence of major fundamental news. However, the dollar rally and the US inflation data could lead the metals to a breakout.


Oil prices drifted lower for the second consecutive day despite the news that China will remove crude oil from its latest tariff list. The West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled lower at $66.69 per barrel and the Brent futures finished at $71.94 per barrel. The US energy services firm Baker Hughes will report the US oil rigs count later today.

Major Economic Events

GMT Country Event Expectation Previous
08:30 UK GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 0.4% 0.2%
08:30 UK Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Jun) 0.3% 0.4%
08:30 UK Trade Balance (Jun) -12.05 -12.36
12:30 US Core CPI (MoM) (Jul) 0.20% 0.20%
12:30 US Core CPI (YoY) (Jul) 2.3% 2.3%
12:30 CA Unemployment rate (Jul) 5.9% 6.0%
12:30 CA Employment Change (Jul) 17.5 31.8
17:00 US U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count   859

The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.

CFDs and Spot FX are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Your profit and loss will vary according to the extent of the fluctuations in the price of the underlying markets on which the trade is based. Read More
Read More
Mail Call Chat