U.S. Dollar Awaits Friday’s US CPI


On Friday, the Greenback declined after Fed Chair Janet Yellen's two-day testimony to Congress. Meanwhile, investors remained cautious ahead of U.S. inflation data, which will be released later on today. Traders are awaiting US inflation indicators for June, the Greenback could be supported vs. its rivals if the consumer price index (CMP) comes out better than expected (+ 0.1% in June and + 1.7% in annual terms).

  • The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which measures the Greenback against a basket of currencies, fell as much as 0.09% to settle at 95.47 pips.


At the beginning of the European session, the single was little changed to settle at $1.1407, with the European Central Bank anticipated to announce plans for tapering asset purchases in September.


Gold prices settled at the beginning of the day as dollar changed ahead of key U.S. economic data and as global stocks gain on upbeat data, but the yellow metal still on track for its first weekly gain in three weeks. Spot gold surged by 0.1%, to settle at $1,218.18 at 06:46 GMT. Prices were up 0.4% for the week so far, which could be its biggest weekly gain for about three weeks. On the other hand, U.S. gold futures for August delivery declined by 0.02% to $1,217.00. 


Also on Friday, Oil prices fell, negatively affected by improving industry efficiency and high fuel stocks, but prices were still on track for a solid weekly profit. U.S. WTI crude futures fell as much as 0.2% or 11 cents to settle at $45.97, but up around 4% over the week, while Brent crude futures were down by 0.1% to settle at $48.35, but up 3.5% for the week

The most important economic events:

  • USD Advance Retail Sales (MoM) (JUN): (GMT 12:30) – Important – Forecast (0.1%) – Previous (-0.3%).
  • USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN) (GMT 12:30) – Important – Forecast (1.7%) – Previous (1.9%).
  • USD U. of Michigan Confidence (JUL P): (GMT 14:00) – Important – Forecast (95.0) – Previous (95.1).

The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.

CFDs and Spot FX are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Your profit and loss will vary according to the extent of the fluctuations in the price of the underlying markets on which the trade is based. Read More
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